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	<title>Comments on: The Dow 10,000 means nothing</title>
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	<link>http://www.joetaxpayer.com/dow-10000-means-nothing/</link>
	<description>Financial Commentary For The Average Joe</description>
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		<title>By: Ben</title>
		<link>http://www.joetaxpayer.com/dow-10000-means-nothing/comment-page-1/#comment-9537</link>
		<dc:creator>Ben</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Oct 2009 21:32:22 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>MediaCurves.com conducted a study among 385 viewers of a news clip featuring the Dow Jones Industrial topping 10,000. Results showed that more than half of viewers (57%) reported that the national economy is improving. Despite reports of the improved economic conditions, the majority of viewers (68%) who indicated that the economy was improving also stated that they do not plan to increase their spending. In addition, 42% of the viewers reported that they are currently searching for a job. 
More in depth results can be seen at: 
http://www.mediacurves.com/Culture/J7600-USEconomy/Index.cfm
Thanks,
Ben</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>MediaCurves.com conducted a study among 385 viewers of a news clip featuring the Dow Jones Industrial topping 10,000. Results showed that more than half of viewers (57%) reported that the national economy is improving. Despite reports of the improved economic conditions, the majority of viewers (68%) who indicated that the economy was improving also stated that they do not plan to increase their spending. In addition, 42% of the viewers reported that they are currently searching for a job.<br />
More in depth results can be seen at:<br />
<a href="http://www.mediacurves.com/Culture/J7600-USEconomy/Index.cfm" rel="nofollow">http://www.mediacurves.com/Culture/J7600-USEconomy/Index.cfm</a><br />
Thanks,<br />
Ben</p>
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		<title>By: Augustine</title>
		<link>http://www.joetaxpayer.com/dow-10000-means-nothing/comment-page-1/#comment-9487</link>
		<dc:creator>Augustine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2009 21:50:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.joetaxpayer.com/?p=1938#comment-9487</guid>
		<description>A couple more things: if one considers inflation, the Dow 10000 of 1999 should be the Dow 15000 today.  IOW, in spite of the hoopla, it took a massive credit bubble to recover from the Dot.com bust as it reached its peak in 2007.  The Dow today is worth only as much as it was in 1997.  The fact of the matter is that the market has remained flat after inflation for over a decade now.  However, it cost the greatest destruction of wealth of a the last 2 centuries.

Finally, technical analysis wouldn&#039;t work if market movers wouldn&#039;t have computers placing trades at such arbitrary milestones as Dow 10000.  After all, today the Dow 10100 became a fierce resistance line.  Thousands of traders cannot make a market as predictable as this, only pre-programmed trading can, IMO.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A couple more things: if one considers inflation, the Dow 10000 of 1999 should be the Dow 15000 today.  IOW, in spite of the hoopla, it took a massive credit bubble to recover from the Dot.com bust as it reached its peak in 2007.  The Dow today is worth only as much as it was in 1997.  The fact of the matter is that the market has remained flat after inflation for over a decade now.  However, it cost the greatest destruction of wealth of a the last 2 centuries.</p>
<p>Finally, technical analysis wouldn&#8217;t work if market movers wouldn&#8217;t have computers placing trades at such arbitrary milestones as Dow 10000.  After all, today the Dow 10100 became a fierce resistance line.  Thousands of traders cannot make a market as predictable as this, only pre-programmed trading can, IMO.</p>
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		<title>By: MoneyEnergy</title>
		<link>http://www.joetaxpayer.com/dow-10000-means-nothing/comment-page-1/#comment-9481</link>
		<dc:creator>MoneyEnergy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2009 19:54:06 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Dow at 10,000 doesn&#039;t irk or inspire me - it&#039;s just an important technical point for some technical analysts, because it is a certain resistance point - eg., you brought up the important point of 14,000 for the last big high - technical analysts also use sub-points and sub-sub-points, so 10,000 probably meets one of those.

Just as 14,000 means nothing in itself, neither does 10,000 - just an easy way to note another milestone so to speak.  It goes without saying, of course, that the number or any Dow number has nothing to do with the actual underlying economy.  Media analysts who slip that assumption in are wrong.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dow at 10,000 doesn&#8217;t irk or inspire me &#8211; it&#8217;s just an important technical point for some technical analysts, because it is a certain resistance point &#8211; eg., you brought up the important point of 14,000 for the last big high &#8211; technical analysts also use sub-points and sub-sub-points, so 10,000 probably meets one of those.</p>
<p>Just as 14,000 means nothing in itself, neither does 10,000 &#8211; just an easy way to note another milestone so to speak.  It goes without saying, of course, that the number or any Dow number has nothing to do with the actual underlying economy.  Media analysts who slip that assumption in are wrong.</p>
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		<title>By: Jason @ Redeeming Riches</title>
		<link>http://www.joetaxpayer.com/dow-10000-means-nothing/comment-page-1/#comment-9480</link>
		<dc:creator>Jason @ Redeeming Riches</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2009 19:44:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.joetaxpayer.com/?p=1938#comment-9480</guid>
		<description>Joe, maybe it&#039;s just the contrarian in me, but I get more scared when there is such a frenzy about these types of things!  Is it a sign there is a correction looming?  We&#039;ll see.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Joe, maybe it&#8217;s just the contrarian in me, but I get more scared when there is such a frenzy about these types of things!  Is it a sign there is a correction looming?  We&#8217;ll see.</p>
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		<title>By: Augustine</title>
		<link>http://www.joetaxpayer.com/dow-10000-means-nothing/comment-page-1/#comment-9472</link>
		<dc:creator>Augustine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2009 15:07:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.joetaxpayer.com/?p=1938#comment-9472</guid>
		<description>Joe,

Indeed, certain round numbers mean absolutely nothing from a purely financial perspective.  However, the Dow reflects trade and trade is made by people, who are not merely driven by numbers.  You have to acknowledge that some round numbers, whether in stocks, market indexes, cars ($19995), trinkets ($0.95), gas ($1.509), etc, do play with emotions.

True enough, it&#039;s amazing to see the market pussyfooting around round numbers, when they sometimes are resistance points or support points at other times.  In this case, the market has been resisting going beyond Dow 10000, often tracing back from it.  Eventually, when it broke it, it did it with some gusto, as we&#039;re seeing.

So, I&#039;d say that from an investment perspective, it does signal how optimistic or not the market is whether a milestone is broken or resisted.  True enough, not that it should affect one&#039;s long term strategy, but if one happens to be rebalancing his portfolio while the market is courting a milestone, one may wait a few days to see how to bias his rebalancing.

HTH</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Joe,</p>
<p>Indeed, certain round numbers mean absolutely nothing from a purely financial perspective.  However, the Dow reflects trade and trade is made by people, who are not merely driven by numbers.  You have to acknowledge that some round numbers, whether in stocks, market indexes, cars ($19995), trinkets ($0.95), gas ($1.509), etc, do play with emotions.</p>
<p>True enough, it&#8217;s amazing to see the market pussyfooting around round numbers, when they sometimes are resistance points or support points at other times.  In this case, the market has been resisting going beyond Dow 10000, often tracing back from it.  Eventually, when it broke it, it did it with some gusto, as we&#8217;re seeing.</p>
<p>So, I&#8217;d say that from an investment perspective, it does signal how optimistic or not the market is whether a milestone is broken or resisted.  True enough, not that it should affect one&#8217;s long term strategy, but if one happens to be rebalancing his portfolio while the market is courting a milestone, one may wait a few days to see how to bias his rebalancing.</p>
<p>HTH</p>
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