May 05

Cinco de Mayo is not Mexican Independence Day which is on September 16. It was first celebrated as a way to commemorate the cause of freedom and democracy during the first years of the American Civil War,and today the date is observed in the United States as a celebration of Mexican heritage and pride. Just saying.

Earlier this week I wrote about the Frontline Report, The Retirement Gamble. My friend and fellow blogger Roger Wohlner, The Chicago Financial Planner, also wrote about this program at My Thoughts on PBS Frontline The Retirement Gamble. My opinion and Roger’s a re close but not identical. Check out his article for his take on this program. The Investor Junkie also offered his view at Are Retirement Accounts Flawed? If nothing else, a PBS show like this will get people’s attention. I hope it’s for the better. An unintended consequence would be for people who are too lazy to even check their fund expenses decide that they won’t bother depositing. Or that those with a good company match will lose that match in a misguided effort to avoid high fees.

Cinco_de_Mayo_1901_poster

Sometimes Len Penzo offers a quirky article not quite related to finance. This week is was 100 Words On: Why It’s Not Poor Etiquette to Put Ketchup on a Hot Dog. As I commented to Len,”Fortunately, we live in the US, the land of choice. You are free to do some pretty awful things, and ketchup on the hot dog is one of them. In the not-so-free countries, you’d be handcuffed and taken away for this offense.” To me it’s not a matter of etiquette, it’s a matter of not being gross.

At Budgets are Sexy, J Money tell us the Things I’d Tell My 20 Year Old Self… If only we could go back in time and change one or two things. A few good stock picks, perhaps? This article left me thinking, I’ll have to get back to you.

In contrast to Paula’s If Everyone Jumped Off a Cliff article a few weeks back, Kyle at Amateur Asset Allocator asked If Everybody Indexed, Would It Stop Working? An interesting thought and Kyle offered a great discussion and analysis of the effect that indexers have on the market. More than that, he slipped in the phrase raison d’être, which raises the quality of most articles, save for those advocating ketchup.

I never tire of the great mortgage debate, and guest posting at PT Money was Emily Guy Birken with Pros and Cons of the 15 vs 30 Year Mortgage. There’s no right or wrong answer, in my opinion. I’m in favor of the 30 year, but if there were just one right choice Emily made a strong case for the 15. That’s one of the great things about the PF Blogging community, we’re opinionated but open to new ideas. Check out Emily’s article and the comments it’s been getting.

At My Financial Independence Journey, a look at What’s your financial independence (retirement) number? It’s a great question, with no two people having the same answer. (Not quite true, I’m sure there’s overlap) I am sure that each person’s situation is unique and they come to their conclusion their own way.  In this case the comments are as revealing as the article itself. Have you thought about your number, the amount that you need to save to afford to retire?

written by Joe \\ tags: , ,

May 04

tin-congress

Today is May 4th. May Fourth, as in “May the Fourth be with you.” Cute, but Star Wars was released on May 25th, so when someone uses that line I look at them and say,”You’re three weeks early.” Worse, I couldn’t find any tie-in to finance or politics and Star Wars. But, yesterday was the release of Iron Man 3 in the US, and I am a fan. I remember when comics were the downfall of society, and it’s been downhill from there.

A nice Iron Man tie-in along with an insult to congress. Is there a connection with the Tin Man having no heart? You decide.

written by Joe

May 03

If you don’t know it, I am a Costco fan. As with anything, people love it, hate it, or don’t happen to have one nearby, and therefore, don’t care. Countless articles on what you save at Costco vs what you’d be better off buying elsewhere. Hint – know your unit pricing. That said, my daughter asked me to print and pick up a few pictures for her to give as a gift. A bit short notice to me, she found picture frames over the weekend, and sent me the pictures to print with a day’s notice. I like CVS, and pass the local CVS pretty often, so I sent the digital pictures to CVS for printing. 19 cents each, not too bad. Until the fine print – “Orders under $5 subject to $1.49 surcharge fee.” So, the choice was to pony up $1.49 or go elsewhere. Here’s the thing. I am 10 miles away and a 45 minute round trip to Costco. So spending $3.50 in gas makes no sense, and CVS it was. It would have taken 27 pictures to hit the $5 minimum. Do people print that many pictures at once? In the old days, it was $12 or so to print a roll of film, 36 pictures, and pick out the two good shots for the photo album. Today, with digital pictures, we no longer print bad shots.

That said, let’s look at the photo cost of CVS and Costco. First, Costco -

costcopix

The 4×6 pictures are a bit cheaper, 6 cents, in fact. No big deal there. Let’s look at CVS and compare the rest -

cvspix

If you have a collection of 5×7 frames in your house, it’s 39 cents vs $1.69. Over 4 times the price at CVS. Plus the surcharge if we only need a few pictures. I also included the next sizes to compare 8×10 and the poster sized prints. I had a function last year, and wanted to print a 20 x 30 poster. Not being an artist or having any aesthetic skills, it took a few tries to get it right. So my Costco tab for 5 posters was $45 compared to the $100 it would have cost at CVS.

For those who are into photography, these price difference add up fast. I don’t spend that much in an average year on photos, but the savings still adds to my list of reasons I like Costco and find the membership worth it.

Do you have a Costco or other warehouse club membership? Are you happy with your saving?

written by Joe \\ tags: , ,

May 02

Decades ago, I read a book titled How To Lie With Statistics, and I was reminded of that book when presented with the graph below, posted at Zero Hedge and titled Party Like it’s 1999?

 

SP_nasdaq

The graph is intended to draw a similarity between the current S&P run-up and the Nasdaq run-up and ensuing crash. A scary coincidence that makes you want to sell right now? Or someone who’s fairly adept with charts pulling a visual fraud?

Have you caught the Big Lie yet? You see, the move from 1250 to near 1600 on the S&P is about 28%. In comparison, the Nasdaq move took it from about 1500 to 4500, a 200% increase. You can easily take any move in the market and with a bit of manipulation, create a chart as you see above. The key in this case is the two different scales,  the S&P on the left, Nasdaq on the right. Had the charts been produced using the same scale, they’d show no resemblance to each other.

I’m not making any prediction where the market is heading, only suggesting that when you see a chart, any chart, look carefully at the scales, and don’t let the author fool you.

written by Joe \\ tags: , ,

May 01

A Guest Post from Crystal -

Gold Investments are traditionally considered a diversification of one’s asset portfolio and as protection from the risk of loss versus other investment options, although investing in gold can be a solid financial undertaking on its own. However, just like any financial decision, this calls for careful consideration and background checks to say the least. There are many options to invest in gold and as Forbes.com puts it, “Investing part of your portfolio in the yellow metal is one thing, deciding how is quite another.”

In the article “The Pros and Cons of Investing in Gold” by Marcie Geffner, she quotes Chris Hyzy, chief investment officer at U.S. Trust, the private wealth management arm of Bank of America in New York, saying “gold shouldn’t be considered an investment. Rather, the precious metal acts as a hedge, or a way to try to protect wealth against the risk of loss in such asset classes as real estate, equities and bonds.”

goldoz

Hyzy continues to explain that “it’s important to think like a central banker. The more growth comes from areas of the world that have high savings, the more (the price of) gold is likely to continue to rise because those savings need to be put to work in non-dollar instruments, including gold and other hard assets.”

On the other hand, the internet provides information regarding investing in the precious metal, for as long as you know how to assess proper and verified advice. Choosing to invest in or buy gold at BullionVault and in similar sites has become a choice of many investors. What should always be put in mind before going into such financial undertaking is to arm yourself with basic information and a background check of the firm you are dealing with, whether it be online or a “brick and mortar” establishment.

Marcie Geffner of BankRate.com highlights, “Gold prices can be quite volatile.” As Geffner quotes Frank Holmes, CEO and chief investment officer at U.S. Global Investors, a San Antonio-based investment fund, he says “70 percent of the time, it’s a ‘nonevent’ for the price of gold to rise or fall 15 percent in a 12-month period. In other words, investors can expect annual price swings of that magnitude or more much of the time. Gold stocks can experience even greater volatility than futures.”

On their website Consumer.FTC.com, The Federal Trade Commission (FTC), the nation’s consumer protection agency, says, “if you are interested in buying gold, do some digging before investing. Some gold promoters don’t deliver what they promise, and may push people into an investment that isn’t right for them.”

The FTC offers the types of gold investments that you can choose from as gold comes in a variety of forms:

  • Gold Stocks and Funds – It can either be buying into a mutual fund invested in physical bullion gold or an investment in a mining firm’s stocks. Forbes.com also offers this as one of four options in investing in gold. The FTC reminds, “Gold stocks and funds should only be purchased from licensed commodity brokers.”
  • Bullion and Bullion Coins – defined by the FTC as “a bulk quantity of precious metal, usually gold, platinum, or silver, assessed by weight and typically cast as ingots or bars.”
  • Collectible Coins – processed gold that have historic or aesthetic value. FTC notes, “Most collectible coins have a market value that exceeds their face value or their metal content. This collectible value is often called numismatic value. The coin dealers who sell collectible coins often have valuable coins graded by professional services, but grading can be subjective.”

The Consumer Protection Agency also provides for constant facts about gold that you would need to know:
1. Gold prices fluctuate. There are no assurances that values will increase or just be maintained.
2. “The prices coin dealers, banks, brokerage firms, and precious metals dealers charge for gold products, like bullion and coins, are almost always higher than the value of the gold the products contain,” FTC advises. Compare prices.
3. There is no existing federal law or Treasury Department regulation ordering any type of confiscation of gold.

In any endeavor, always do your research. FTC puts it simply, “Investigate Before You Invest”.

written by Joe \\ tags: , , , ,