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Money Merge Account Analysis Pt 25

Today I am going to take a breath from the numbers and suggest something radical.
You don’t need MMA (you knew that). You don’t even need my spreadsheet.
Neither adds value, and really just wastes your time.
You need to follow the very simple process; (A) At the end of each month, send any extra money you have to your highest interest debt. (B) there is no ‘B’.
For the pennies to be gained by the HELOC shuffle (see last week’s post, it’s $5 per month using UFirst’s income/expense example) you are best off simply avoiding it, and merely going with my rule above.

I very much enjoy all the analogies, the MMA is like a (fill in the blank). My favorite is the GPS one. How often do you really have no idea where you are going? What if I told you I’d sell you a $3500 GPS whose volume could not be turned off and it announced exactly where you were every 30 seconds? And it bolted to your car so you could not leave it home. You couldn’t pay me to take such a device. MMA (and my spreadsheet) will let you obsessively track your exact balances every night and projected mortgage payoff with every cent you send to the bank. So what? There’s no value in that, just a waste of your time. What is your time worth? Instead of spending the time with MMA, have weekly/monthly family meetings, to discuss how you can spend more wisely. Don’t use the word budget, it’s has too many negative connotations.
Until next week,
Joe

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Bad Bank

I’ve posted before that I am a fan of Ira Glass’ “This American Life” heard on public radio. Last week, in collaboration with Planet Money, TAL aired “Bad Bank“. In this episode, they offer another spin on the current banking crisis, helping to bring it to a level that’s easy to understand. Take a listen, and let me know if you agree. (The show’s topics vary week to week, so I can’t say whether you’ll continue to listen to other airings. This one is worth it, though.)

Joe

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How We’re All Feeling Now

mort401

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The Mortgage Bailout

Details have been released on the proposed mortgage bailout.

It appears that banks will be invited to lower the interest rate and/or the principal to get the borrower’s payment down to 31% of their income. This should result in a cost to the bank that’s less that that of foreclosure. In theory. Given that the cost of foreclosure is estimated to be as high as 50% of the home’s value, the loan modification plan may save us all some money in the long term. The government is going to offer banks a portion of their expense, a dollar for dollar match to reduce the expense ratio from 38% to 31%, but it seems the bank has to first fund the plan to get down to 38%. I don’t know if the President received my note suggesting that we implement a clawback on all overpaid bankers’ income goung back for the last decade, that would fund much if not all of this plan.

Joe

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Money Merge Account Analysis Pt 24

I recently had the rare opportunity, thanks to a rogue agent, to view the V4.2 software and took a few snapshots of my scenarios. For me, the most difficult scenario to get any agent to model and email to me was for when the client has no extra money. Since UFirst, through a combination of “Sophisticated Algorithms” and “Factorial Math” claims for this product to be the “Financial GPS” which is the fastest way to pay off your debts, one can only see the impact MMA and the “HELOC shuffle” has by isolating these variables from the use of your own money to pay down your own mortgage. So let’s see what the MMA system tell us the impact it can have when we don’t have extra money to add each month. First, the cash flow:

mmascam1

This is the standard scenario, with $5000/mo income, and a $200,000 Mortgage at 6%. You can see the total monthly expenses are $5000, which includes the mortgage at $1199.10, and the monthly cost of funding the MMA software at $3500, 9% with a 30 yr payoff, $28.16 per month. Perhaps not so remarkably, the years to payoff is 31.33. Huh? What happened to fastest way to zero? What in the world did MMA do that could possibly be worse than simply ignoring the software and just paying both the mortgage and HELOC for exactly 30 years? It’s very simple. The software is broken. As I started to discuss a couple weeks back, the whole MMA system is based on lies, deception, and obfuscation. Let’s look now at one month of transactions based on the details above.

mmascam2

Now, you can easily see why it takes an extra 16 months to pay off the mortgage. Despite the fact that we told the program there is *no* extra money, it still decides that the optimum amount to send to the first mortgage from the HELOC is $5222.40. This balance cycles up and down within the month, but on average, increases month to month, and takes 16 months worth of full mortgage payment to pay it off in 30 years. Now, you know that no agent will be able to explain this, they should say that if you truly have no extra funds, you should not use the program. In reality, they will start to ask you where you can cut back, even to where you have $100 available to get the program going, and then project future raises and other income. After all, you got that far and they have a sale on the line. Now, instead of buying MMA and paying it off over the life of the program, how about taking that $28.16 and just putting it toward the mortgage. Here is my spreadsheet view.

mmascam4

You can see the interest saved vs original projection is nearly $17,000, and the mortgage is cut down to 338 months or 22 months earlier than 30 years but a full 38 months sooner than UFirst’s own forecast. MMA costs you $45,696 more in interest than my ‘do it yourself’ method. As the agents say, “it’s math, not magic”. Indeed. Just for laughs (yes, I have a strange sense of humor) I told the software to adjust the HELOC interest rate to 2.5%, which is my current rate happens to be. This is the new forecast, below.

mmascam3

Two points to note on the new scenario. First, even with access to 2.5% money, the total interest is still more than $2,000 higher than my projection. Second, why in the world did the software use even less HELOC money, now that it’s so cheap? It only sent $549.23 to the first mortgage as a prepayment? Yet, when the HELOC was 9% it sent nearly ten times that amount? This is software you’d trust? This is what they mean by “watching every penny”? I must admit they are right about one thing, I can’t do this on my own. I’m not that stupid.

Note: for easier viewing, you can click on the images above and open full size.

If I can access the site again, there are a few other scenarios I’d like to run for a future post, I’ve shared what I have so far. If an agent tells you to talk to a happy user, remember that user is likely an agent as well, just helping to make a sale. Send them both my way, by the time I’m done, they’ll go home crying.

Joe

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